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leagues calibrated
A pricing engine, not a tipster
FootyEdge prices every match itself. Dixon-Coles Poisson with per-league rho, decayed form and dynamic home advantage produce true probabilities for 1X2, Over/Under and BTTS.
▮ FOOTBALL ANALYTICS
FootyEdge prices every match with its own statistical engine and surfaces the signals that matter — every day, across 30+ leagues.
✓ Probabilistic model✓ Data validated on every run✓ No guaranteed results
🤖AI ANALYSISReal injuries, form and team context
▮ TACTICAL ANALYSIS
Real-time data, match by match
Every signal is backed by real per-team performance data, not just the odds. The model updates its probabilities as new information comes in.
- ✓Form with temporal decay
- ✓xG and per-team performance
- ✓Elo rating updated every match
▮ HOW IT WORKS
Three layers, one signal
01
Base pricing with Dixon-Coles
A bivariate Poisson model prices every possible scoreline, calibrated independently per league with temporal decay on recent form.
02
Elo rating context
Each team's relative strength is updated after every settled match based on result and goal margin, and shown as additional context.
03
Blended with the market
The result is combined with live bookmaker odds to reduce noise — only matches with a real statistical edge left over make the board.
▮ THE PRODUCT
Find the signal.
Before the market does.
▮ PRICING
Choose your plan
▮ FAQ